e-forecasting.com’s economic Leading Analytic, eLA™, a composite of seven forward-looking predictive analytics, fell 4.2 percent in March, following an increase of 0.1 percent in February.  Only two of the seven components – individually modeled by data science techniques – had a positive contribution to the aggregate barometer.

Combined with current economic conditions, measured by U.S. monthly-GDP ™, the economic Leading Analytic, eLA™, provides monthly predictions of the risk for future recessions. By visualizing the findings,”…the probability of an upcoming recession in the next six to nine months posted a reading of 100 percent in March…”said Evangelos Otto Simos, editor-in-chief and professor at the University of New Hampshire, in comments published today in the U.S. Leading Indicators Digest™.

The research team of Kefallonia, Inc, DBA e-forecasting.com, decided today in an electronic conference to offer to hotel managers or VP/directors of finance complementary subscription for four months (May, June, July and August of the following three publications:

  1. U.S. Leading barometer (eLA)
  2. U.S. Hotel Industry Leading (HIL) barometer
  3. U.S. Monthly GDP

We are optimistic despite some gloomy predictions, that by August the industry will be on a fast recovery path. Our offer will be extended, if needed, until hotel managers are convinced that it is over. We are a part of the industry and we want passionately to contribute to this catastrophic event. Please email directly to me at

Subject: Philoxenia
Include: electronic business card, or a picture of your business card

About e-forecasting.com                                                                                

e-forecasting.com, a USA private, New Hampshire based, research and predictive intelligence consulting firm, provides its clients creative, science based, innovative, artificial intelligence driven, and disruptive predictive analytics for what’s next.

Logos, product and company names mentioned are the property of their respective owners.

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